AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
RAMS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Rhode Island)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)
TLSA By 1-7 points
24.3%
TLSA By 8-14 points
13.7%
URI By 1-7 points
26.2%
URI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulsa
69
TULSA
Rhode Island
70
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
Tulsa
68
TULSA
Rhode Island
72
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
TLSA @ URI
82 - 65
Nov 20, 2021
TLSA @ URI
77 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+114.6% more
Rhode Island: 9.6
vs
Tulsa: 4.5
Turnovers (L5)
+10.2% more
Rhode Island: 12.6
vs
Tulsa: 11.4
Assists (L5)
+8.8% more
Rhode Island: 14.8
vs
Tulsa: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Rhode Island: 33.9%
vs
Tulsa: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score
69.0
82
URI Score
70.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 28.3
33.0 / 50.0
Assists
14.8 / 13.6
13.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.7
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.5
46.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 74.2
79.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 40.6
25.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.6 / 4.5
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.4
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
URI
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
TLSA
URI
TLSA
ML
62%
20-12
66%
25-13
59%
19-13
64%
23-13
ATS
56%
18-14
74%
28-10
59%
19-13
64%
23-13
TTL
56%
18-14
58%
22-16
100%
32-0
100%
36-0