GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
0-1 | Road
76
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
1-0 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
0%
BULLS
100%
PHOENIX
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
GB By 1-7 points
26.2%
GB By 8-14 points
16.9%
BUF By 1-7 points
24.3%
BUF By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
72
GREEN BAY
Buffalo
71
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Green Bay
68
GREEN BAY
Buffalo
74
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phoenix
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
GB @ BUF
76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+98.8% more
Buffalo: 6.6
vs
Green Bay: 3.3
Blocks (L5)
+49.8% more
Buffalo: 3.6
vs
Green Bay: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+33.2% more
Buffalo: 11.8
vs
Green Bay: 8.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
Buffalo: 44.3%
vs
Green Bay: 37.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
72.0
76
BUF Score
71.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 29.3
38.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.3 / 13.3
10.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.4
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 37.2
53.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 70.5
66.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 31.9
31.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.6 / 3.3
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 8.8
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BUF
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
GB
BUF
GB
ML
45%
14-17
48%
16-17
45%
14-17
67%
22-11
ATS
55%
17-14
52%
17-16
45%
14-17
67%
22-11
TTL
48%
15-16
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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