Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Dukes SHU @ DUQ

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

1-0  |  Road

80
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

DUQUESNE

DUKESDUQ

1-0  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
📊
DUKES
100%
PIONEERS --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 DukesDUQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

38.2%

Dukes Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUQ +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)

SHU By 1-7 points

27.2%

SHU By 8-14 points

20.1%

DUQ By 1-7 points

21.6%

DUQ By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
75
SACRED HEART
72
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
65
SACRED HEART
78
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dukes (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 SHU @ DUQ 80 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +28.2% more
Sacred Heart: 20.2 vs Duquesne: 14.5
Steals (L5) +27.2% more
Sacred Heart: 10.6 vs Duquesne: 7.7
Rebounding (L5) +24.4% more
Sacred Heart: 44.3 vs Duquesne: 33.5
Blocks (L5) +61.2% more
Duquesne: 4.0 vs Sacred Heart: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 75.0 80
DUQ Score 72.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 33.5 23.0 / 23.0
Assists 14.5 / 20.2 19.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.5 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 44.6 44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 71.0 67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 44.3 45.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.7 / 10.6 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 13.7 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
DUQ Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
DUQ
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
SHU
DUQ
SHU
ML
53% 17-15
61% 20-13
58% 18-13
73% 24-9
ATS
69% 22-10
76% 25-8
58% 18-13
73% 24-9
TTL
50% 16-16
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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