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DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

0-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Purcell Pavilion
View Odds Details →

NOTRE DAME

FIGHTING IRISHND

1-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
TITANS --
FIGHTING IRISH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Notre Dame)
TitansDETM (-3.5) 0 Fighting IrishND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

46.0%

Fighting Irish Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ND -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)

DETM By 1-7 points

24.3%

DETM By 8-14 points

13.7%

ND By 1-7 points

26.2%

ND By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
80
DETROIT MERCY
81
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
56
DETROIT MERCY
78
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Irish Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Irish Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Irish (+21.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Fighting Irish (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 DETM @ ND 70 - 102
Dec 6, 2020 DETM @ ND 70 - 78
Dec 10, 2019 DETM @ ND 71 - 110
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
Notre Dame: 37.6% vs Detroit Mercy: 28.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Notre Dame: 42.7% vs Detroit Mercy: 40.3%
Blocks (L5) +37.3% more
Detroit Mercy: 3.2 vs Notre Dame: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +12.5% more
Detroit Mercy: 15.6 vs Notre Dame: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DETM Score 80.0 70
ND Score 81.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 28.9 44.0 / 30.0
Assists 10.7 / 11.5 19.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.2 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 40.3 52.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 70.9 73.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 39.5 / 37.5 44.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.3 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 15.6 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
ND
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
ND
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
DETM
ND
DETM
ML
65% 20-11
58% 18-13
77% 24-7
50% 15-15
ATS
55% 17-14
61% 19-12
77% 24-7
50% 15-15
TTL
68% 21-10
61% 19-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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