Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Cavaliers NCCU @ UVA

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

0-1  |  Road

62
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
John Paul Jones Arena
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA

CAVALIERSUVA

1-0  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
EAGLES --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Virginia)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 CavaliersUVA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

21.2%

Cavaliers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVA -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVA)

NCCU By 1-7 points

13.7%

NCCU By 8-14 points

4.8%

UVA By 1-7 points

25.3%

UVA By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
74
VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
39
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
68
VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 NCCU @ UVA 62 - 81
Dec 5, 2023 NCCU @ UVA 47 - 77
Nov 7, 2022 NCCU @ UVA 61 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +197.5% more
Virginia: 5.9 vs North Carolina Central: 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +27.3% more
Virginia: 33.1 vs North Carolina Central: 26.0
Steals (L5) +12.6% more
Virginia: 7.6 vs North Carolina Central: 6.8
Turnovers (L5) +46.2% more
North Carolina Central: 16.0 vs Virginia: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 66.0 62
UVA Score 74.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 31.0 39.0 / 43.0
Assists 12.0 / 12.2 22.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.9 / 2.0 11.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 45.5 46.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 69.8 / 73.1 58.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 26.0 48.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.8 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.6 / 16.0 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
UVA Advantage
30-6-0 (83.3%)
Margin: 11.6 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
UVA
17-17-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.6 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
UVA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVA
NCCU
UVA
NCCU
ML
67% 24-12
65% 20-11
72% 26-10
81% 22-5
ATS
75% 27-9
71% 22-9
72% 26-10
81% 22-5
TTL
53% 19-17
55% 17-14
100% 36-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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