Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leathernecks @ Hawkeyes WIU @ IOWA

WESTERN ILLINOIS

LEATHERNECKSWIU

0-1  |  Road

58
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Carver-Hawkeye Arena
View Odds Details →

IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

1-0  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
100%
📊
HAWKEYES
0%
LEATHERNECKS --
HAWKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Iowa)
LeathernecksWIU (-3.5) 0 HawkeyesIOWA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leathernecks Cover

42.1%

Hawkeyes Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)

WIU By 1-7 points

23.0%

WIU By 8-14 points

12.2%

IOWA By 1-7 points

26.8%

IOWA By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
80
WESTERN ILLINOIS
82
IOWA
Simulated Score
65
WESTERN ILLINOIS
88
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawkeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Hawkeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 WIU @ IOWA 58 - 77
Dec 29, 2021 WIU @ IOWA 71 - 92
Dec 3, 2020 WIU @ IOWA 58 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +121.1% more
Iowa: 19.4 vs Western Illinois: 8.8
Steals (L5) +71.0% more
Iowa: 7.0 vs Western Illinois: 4.1
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Iowa: 54.6% vs Western Illinois: 47.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
Iowa: 73.2% vs Western Illinois: 67.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIU Score 80.0 58
IOWA Score 82.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.2 / 38.1 40.0 / 33.0
Assists 19.4 / 8.8 21.0 / 4.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.5 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 54.6 / 47.9 52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 67.7 75.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 28.6 / 35.4 26.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.0 / 4.1 8.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 12.5 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0 (16.1%)
Margin: -11.9 ATS +/-: -5.3
IOWA Advantage
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0 (39.3%)
Margin: -11.9 ATS +/-: -5.3
IOWA Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -0.1
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
WIU
IOWA
WIU
ML
59% 22-15
45% 14-17
78% 28-8
61% 19-12
ATS
76% 28-9
52% 16-15
78% 28-8
61% 19-12
TTL
57% 21-16
45% 14-17
100% 36-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 6 hours ago
Jess Sims Conquers Hay Bale Toss on College GameDay in Iowa
awfulannouncing 5 days, 6 hours ago
Iowa State's Two-Center Experiment: Will Buchanan and Pleta Shar…
iowastatedaily 1 week ago
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
Gonzaga Offers 2028 Wisconsin Wing Joey Kohnen, Joins Growing Re…
si 1 week, 6 days ago