Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Gaels HOF @ IONA

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

0-1  |  Road

73
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Hynes Athletics Center
View Odds Details →

IONA

GAELSIONA

0-0  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
100%
📊
GAELS
0%
PRIDE --
GAELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Iona)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 GaelsIONA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

34.5%

Gaels Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IONA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)

HOF By 1-7 points

20.1%

HOF By 8-14 points

9.3%

IONA By 1-7 points

27.4%

IONA By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
58
HOFSTRA
62
IONA
Simulated Score
72
HOFSTRA
75
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gaels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gaels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gaels (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Gaels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 HOF @ IONA 73 - 81
Nov 8, 2024 IONA @ HOF 76 - 90
Dec 6, 2023 HOF @ IONA 62 - 57
Nov 11, 2022 IONA @ HOF 78 - 83
Nov 16, 2021 HOF @ IONA 74 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +20.1% more
Iona: 13.0 vs Hofstra: 10.8
Steals (L5) +10.8% more
Iona: 7.3 vs Hofstra: 6.6
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Iona: 43.6% vs Hofstra: 41.4%
Blocks (L5) +32.6% more
Hofstra: 3.5 vs Iona: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 58.0 73
IONA Score 62.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 33.1 35.0 / 28.0
Assists 13.9 / 14.7 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.5 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 41.4 45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 68.4 / 70.6 67.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 36.8 35.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.6 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 10.8 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
IONA
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
IONA
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
HOF
IONA
HOF
ML
41% 13-19
77% 27-8
62% 20-12
71% 25-10
ATS
53% 17-15
83% 29-6
62% 20-12
71% 25-10
TTL
66% 21-11
51% 18-17
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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