Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / River Hawks @ Huskies UML @ CONN

UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

1-0  |  Road

47
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:30 PM ET
PeoplesBank Arena
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

1-0  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
RIVER HAWKS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (UConn)
River HawksUML (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

River Hawks Cover

34.5%

Huskies Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

UML By 1-7 points

20.1%

UML By 8-14 points

9.3%

CONN By 1-7 points

27.4%

CONN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
68
UMASS LOWELL
72
UCONN
Simulated Score
60
UMASS LOWELL
85
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 UML @ CONN 47 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +14.2% more
UConn: 4.3 vs UMass Lowell: 3.7
Steals (L5) +11.6% more
UConn: 7.1 vs UMass Lowell: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5) +7.1%
UConn: 80.2% vs UMass Lowell: 73.1%
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
UMass Lowell: 17.4 vs UConn: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UML Score 68.0 47
CONN Score 72.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 37.3 39.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.8 / 17.4 27.0 / 4.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.7 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 55.4 61.0 / 21.0
Free Throw % 80.2 / 73.1 77.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 38.4 46.0 / 22.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.4 13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 13.3 10.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
UML
CONN
UML
ML
76% 29-9
70% 23-10
66% 23-12
58% 19-14
ATS
74% 28-10
70% 23-10
66% 23-12
58% 19-14
TTL
50% 19-19
58% 19-14
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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