UL MONROE
WARHAWKSULM
0-1 | Road
65
OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
1-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
WARHAWKS
100%
REBELS
0%
WARHAWKS
--
REBELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ole Miss)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)
ULM By 1-7 points
23.0%
ULM By 8-14 points
12.2%
MISS By 1-7 points
26.8%
MISS By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UL Monroe
78
UL MONROE
Ole Miss
80
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
UL Monroe
60
UL MONROE
Ole Miss
85
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rebels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rebels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rebels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Rebels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
ULM @ MISS
65 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+58.7% more
Ole Miss: 8.1
vs
UL Monroe: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+40.0% more
Ole Miss: 3.0
vs
UL Monroe: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+28.8% more
Ole Miss: 36.4
vs
UL Monroe: 28.2
Assists (L5)
+9.2% more
Ole Miss: 13.6
vs
UL Monroe: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ULM Score
78.0
65
MISS Score
80.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 39.8
45.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.4
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.2
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 45.5
47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 76.3
69.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 28.2
43.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.1 / 5.1
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.2
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ULM
Advantage
4-28-0
(12.5%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ULM
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
ULM
MISS
ULM
ML
48%
16-17
50%
16-16
52%
17-16
70%
21-9
ATS
61%
20-13
78%
25-7
52%
17-16
70%
21-9
TTL
64%
21-12
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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