SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
1-0 | Road
77
TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERSTTU
1-0 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
BEARKATS
100%
RED RAIDERS
0%
BEARKATS
--
RED RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Texas Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)
SHSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
SHSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
TTU By 1-7 points
26.2%
TTU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Sam Houston
76
SAM HOUSTON
Texas Tech
77
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
Sam Houston
63
SAM HOUSTON
Texas Tech
75
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
SHSU @ TTU
77 - 98
Dec 28, 2023
SHSU @ TTU
60 - 96
Nov 27, 2020
SHSU @ TTU
52 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.9% more
Texas Tech: 45.8
vs
Sam Houston: 40.9
Assists (L5)
+11.7% more
Texas Tech: 15.6
vs
Sam Houston: 13.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Texas Tech: 32.7%
vs
Sam Houston: 29.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+37.6% more
Sam Houston: 11.1
vs
Texas Tech: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHSU Score
76.0
77
TTU Score
77.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 29.4
43.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.6 / 13.9
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.8
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 45.1
50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 79.0
65.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 40.9
41.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.1
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
6.9 / 11.1
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHSU
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
TTU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
TTU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
SHSU
TTU
SHSU
ML
62%
21-13
55%
18-15
71%
22-9
74%
23-8
ATS
65%
22-12
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
74%
23-8
TTL
59%
20-14
48%
16-17
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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