Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Keydets @ Screaming Eagles VMI @ USI

VMI

KEYDETSVMI

1-0  |  Road

78
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 8:30 PM ET
Liberty Arena (IN)
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

0-1  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
0%
📊
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
KEYDETS --
SCREAMING EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (VMI)
KeydetsVMI (-3.5) 0 Screaming EaglesUSI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Keydets Cover

99.2%

Screaming Eagles Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VMI -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)

VMI By 1-7 points

4.0%

VMI By 8-14 points

12.2%

USI By 1-7 points

0.6%

USI By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
85
VMI
61
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
70
VMI
75
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Keydets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Screaming Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Keydets (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Screaming Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 VMI @ USI 78 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.6% more
VMI: 8.9 vs Southern Indiana: 6.1
Assists (L5) +17.4% more
VMI: 13.9 vs Southern Indiana: 11.5
Field Goal % (L5) +11.2%
VMI: 47.9% vs Southern Indiana: 36.7%
Turnovers (L5) +26.9% more
Southern Indiana: 11.6 vs VMI: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VMI Score 85.0 78
USI Score 61.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 35.5 22.0 / 28.0
Assists 11.5 / 13.9 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.9 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 36.7 / 47.9 36.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 74.8 76.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 36.5 49.0 / 48.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.9 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 9.1 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0 (18.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -5.4
USI Advantage
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0 (31.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -5.4
USI Advantage
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.1
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
VMI
USI
VMI
ML
67% 20-10
53% 17-15
61% 17-11
84% 27-5
ATS
70% 21-9
50% 16-16
61% 17-11
84% 27-5
TTL
73% 22-8
62% 20-12
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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