NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
1-0 | Road
72
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
1-0 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
BADGERS
0%
HUSKIES
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
NIU By 1-7 points
0.3%
NIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
WIS By 1-7 points
2.2%
WIS By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
64
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Wisconsin
91
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
61
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Wisconsin
74
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Badgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Badgers (+28.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
NIU @ WIS
72 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.8% more
Wisconsin: 6.4
vs
Northern Illinois: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.4%
Wisconsin: 82.7%
vs
Northern Illinois: 69.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+47.0% more
Northern Illinois: 15.3
vs
Wisconsin: 8.1
Assists (L5)
+9.1% more
Northern Illinois: 16.2
vs
Wisconsin: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
64.0
72
WIS Score
91.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 37.1
29.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.7 / 16.2
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.6
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 44.6
49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
82.7 / 69.3
76.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 36.7
36.0 / 25.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.0
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 15.3
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
NIU
WIS
NIU
ML
60%
21-14
67%
20-10
69%
24-11
66%
19-10
ATS
51%
18-17
63%
19-11
69%
24-11
66%
19-10
TTL
57%
20-15
67%
20-10
100%
35-0
100%
29-0
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