Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Wildcats UTU @ ARIZ

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

2-1  |  Road

67
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 9:00 PM ET
McKale Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

2-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Arizona)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

8.1%

Wildcats Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

UTU By 1-7 points

5.8%

UTU By 8-14 points

1.4%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

16.9%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
35
UTAH TECH
49
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
61
UTAH TECH
88
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 UTU @ ARIZ 67 - 93
Nov 17, 2022 UTU @ ARIZ 77 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +17.6% more
Arizona: 4.5 vs Utah Tech: 3.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.9%
Arizona: 43.0% vs Utah Tech: 30.2%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.2%
Arizona: 76.7% vs Utah Tech: 72.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Arizona: 48.1% vs Utah Tech: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 35.0 67
ARIZ Score 49.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.0 / 30.2 47.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.5 / 12.5 24.0 / 5.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 44.4 57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 72.6 70.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 42.2 40.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.9 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 12.1 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ARIZ
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
UTU
ARIZ
UTU
ML
67% 26-13
68% 23-11
68% 23-11
62% 21-13
ATS
74% 29-10
65% 22-12
68% 23-11
62% 21-13
TTL
56% 22-17
65% 22-12
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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