UAB
BLAZERSUAB
1-0 | Road
70
NC STATE
WOLFPACKNCSU
1-0 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
100%
WOLFPACK
0%
BLAZERS
--
WOLFPACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (NC State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCSU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)
UAB By 1-7 points
16.9%
UAB By 8-14 points
6.8%
NCSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
NCSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
79
UAB
NC State
85
NC STATE
Simulated Score
UAB
70
UAB
NC State
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolfpack
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Wolfpack (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
UAB @ NCSU
70 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+14.9% more
NC State: 18.6
vs
UAB: 16.2
Turnovers (L5)
+8.2% more
NC State: 9.9
vs
UAB: 9.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
NC State: 37.5%
vs
UAB: 31.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+23.2% more
UAB: 44.8
vs
NC State: 34.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
79.0
70
NCSU Score
85.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 31.7
33.0 / 16.0
Assists
18.6 / 16.2
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.5
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 44.1
54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 74.9
82.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 44.8
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.0 / 9.7
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 9.1
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
NCSU
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
NCSU
Advantage
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
UAB
NCSU
UAB
ML
59%
20-14
59%
19-13
55%
18-15
41%
13-19
ATS
71%
24-10
56%
18-14
55%
18-15
41%
13-19
TTL
71%
24-10
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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