Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Anteaters CBU @ UCI

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

1-0  |  Road

69
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 10:30 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

1-0  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
📊
ANTEATERS
100%
LANCERS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

46.0%

Anteaters Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

CBU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CBU By 8-14 points

16.9%

UCI By 1-7 points

24.3%

UCI By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
67
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
66
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
68
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lancers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Anteaters (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Anteaters (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 CBU @ UCI 69 - 61
Dec 30, 2024 UCI @ CBU 71 - 63
Dec 7, 2019 CBU @ UCI 68 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +103.1% more
UC Irvine: 3.9 vs California Baptist: 1.9
Assists (L5) +71.8% more
UC Irvine: 21.2 vs California Baptist: 12.3
Rebounding (L5) +37.1% more
UC Irvine: 49.2 vs California Baptist: 35.9
Turnovers (L5) +9.7% more
UC Irvine: 12.0 vs California Baptist: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 67.0 69
UCI Score 66.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 38.1 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 21.2 / 12.3 11.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.9 10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 43.9 34.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 70.4 57.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 49.2 / 35.9 32.0 / 55.0
Steals 4.9 / 5.3 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 10.9 10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
UCI
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
CBU
UCI
CBU
ML
57% 20-15
50% 17-17
53% 18-16
76% 25-8
ATS
63% 22-13
53% 18-16
53% 18-16
76% 25-8
TTL
57% 20-15
47% 16-18
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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