Home / NHL Projections NHL / Wild @ Islanders MIN @ NYI

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

5-7-3  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

6-5-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
@
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 2.00 0.926 --
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 GAA --
0.926 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
WILD --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

30.9%

Islanders Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

MIN By 1 goal

12.1%

MIN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NYI By 1 goal

19.7%

NYI By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 NYI @ MIN 4 - 3
Nov 7, 2025 MIN @ NYI 5 - 2
Apr 4, 2025 MIN @ NYI 1 - 3
Feb 8, 2025 NYI @ MIN 3 - 6
Jan 15, 2024 NYI @ MIN 0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +32.4% more
New York: 5.0 vs Minnesota: 3.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.8% more
New York: 31.8 vs Minnesota: 26.6
Faceoff % (L5) +9.8%
New York: 56.6% vs Minnesota: 46.8%
Hits (L5) +43.4% more
Minnesota: 27.5 vs New York: 15.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 5
NYI Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 16.2 15.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 56.6 / 46.8 54.8 / 45.2
Hits 15.6 / 27.5 15.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 1532.0 / 3594.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 31.8 / 26.6 27.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 5.0 / 3.7 2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
MIN
NYI
MIN
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
100% 3-0
100% 2-0-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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