Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Wizards CLE @ WSH

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

5-3  |  Road

148
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

1-7  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
📊
WIZARDS
0%
CAVALIERS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

46.0%

Wizards Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CLE By 1-7 points

24.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

13.7%

WSH By 1-7 points

26.2%

WSH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
122
CLEVELAND
123
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
105
CLEVELAND
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wizards Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wizards Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wizards (+13.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wizards (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o240.5 Win
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim u240.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 WSH @ CLE 117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026 WSH @ CLE 113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025 CLE @ WSH 130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +40.5% more
Washington: 14.7 vs Cleveland: 10.5
Rebounding (L5) +36.7% more
Washington: 33.4 vs Cleveland: 24.4
Blocks (L5) +24.5% more
Washington: 4.6 vs Cleveland: 3.7
Steals (L5) +41.7% more
Cleveland: 6.7 vs Washington: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 122.0 148
WSH Score 123.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 39.5 37.0 / 44.0
Assists 20.0 / 20.1 32.0 / 34.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.7 7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 47.5 45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 52.8 / 58.4 78.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 24.4 44.0 / 57.0
Steals 3.9 / 6.7 5.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 10.5 20.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
WSH Advantage
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CLE
WSH
CLE
ML
70% 112-49
60% 69-46
47% 39-44
56% 55-44
ATS
69% 111-49-1
67% 75-37-3
47% 39-44
56% 55-44
TTL
74% 119-41-1
59% 68-47
100% 83-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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