BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
4-5 | Road
110
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
3-5 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
MAGIC
0%
CELTICS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
BOS By 1-7 points
21.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
10.7%
ORL By 1-7 points
27.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
106
BOSTON
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Boston
108
BOSTON
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+67.5% more
Orlando: 11.7
vs
Boston: 7.0
Blocks (L5)
+17.4% more
Orlando: 3.0
vs
Boston: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Orlando: 35.3%
vs
Boston: 30.6%
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Boston: 8.5
vs
Orlando: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
106.0
110
ORL Score
109.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 30.6
47.0 / 35.0
Assists
17.9 / 19.8
28.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.6
7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 46.7
50.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
55.1 / 63.0
77.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 29.3
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.5
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 7.0
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
BOS
ORL
BOS
ML
61%
65-42
57%
61-46
56%
51-40
53%
47-41
ATS
64%
68-38-1
59%
61-43-3
56%
51-40
53%
47-41
TTL
57%
61-46
56%
60-47
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
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