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CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

6-1  |  Road

110
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 8:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

5-3  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
BUCKS
0%
BULLS --
BUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 BucksMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

46.0%

Bucks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

CHI By 1-7 points

24.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

13.7%

MIL By 1-7 points

26.2%

MIL By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
117
CHICAGO
118
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
109
CHICAGO
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bucks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bucks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bucks (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bucks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u240.0 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim u240.0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 MIL @ CHI 97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026 CHI @ MIL 115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025 MIL @ CHI 112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025 CHI @ MIL 110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025 MIL @ CHI 127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.6% more
Milwaukee: 20.8 vs Chicago: 17.5
Turnovers (L5) +13.0% more
Milwaukee: 12.0 vs Chicago: 10.6
Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Milwaukee: 48.9% vs Chicago: 46.4%
Blocks (L5) +26.2% more
Chicago: 4.3 vs Milwaukee: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 117.0 110
MIL Score 118.0 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 38.1 41.0 / 30.0
Assists 20.8 / 17.5 27.0 / 34.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.3 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 46.4 47.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 52.4 / 51.7 78.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 30.5 53.0 / 45.0
Steals 4.5 / 5.9 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 10.6 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL Advantage
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHI
MIL
CHI
ML
64% 61-35
56% 54-42
60% 49-32
57% 46-35
ATS
68% 65-31
65% 62-33-1
60% 49-32
57% 46-35
TTL
55% 53-43
58% 56-40
100% 81-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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