AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
JAGUARS
100%
SHARKS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
LIU By 1-7 points
24.3%
LIU By 8-14 points
26.8%
IUIN By 1-7 points
12.2%
IUIN By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
IU Indianapolis
66
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Long Island University
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
IU Indianapolis
72
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u185.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u185.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
LIU @ IUIN
94 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.0% more
Long Island University: 3.7
vs
IU Indianapolis: 1.1
Turnovers (L5)
+32.9% more
Long Island University: 13.0
vs
IU Indianapolis: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+28.1% more
Long Island University: 8.7
vs
IU Indianapolis: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+25.1% more
Long Island University: 35.6
vs
IU Indianapolis: 26.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
75.0
94
IUIN Score
66.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.5 / 30.9
27.0 / 45.0
Assists
16.3 / 10.3
20.0 / 19.0
Blocks
1.1 / 3.7
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 41.6
44.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 71.5
78.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
26.7 / 35.6
34.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.3 / 8.7
16.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 13.0
14.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
LIU
IUIN
LIU
ML
69%
22-10
60%
21-14
78%
25-7
69%
24-11
ATS
66%
21-11
63%
22-13
78%
25-7
69%
24-11
TTL
50%
16-16
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
35-0