CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
1-0 | Road
49
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
0-1 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BLUE DEVILS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
CCSU By 1-7 points
21.6%
CCSU By 8-14 points
10.7%
QUIN By 1-7 points
27.2%
QUIN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
82
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Quinnipiac
85
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
70
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Quinnipiac
78
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
CCSU @ QUIN
49 - 71
Dec 21, 2024
QUIN @ CCSU
80 - 84
Nov 10, 2023
CCSU @ QUIN
70 - 74
Nov 13, 2022
QUIN @ CCSU
72 - 70
Nov 20, 2021
CCSU @ QUIN
65 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.3% more
Quinnipiac: 14.7
vs
Central Connecticut: 12.3
Assists (L5)
+23.1% more
Central Connecticut: 16.7
vs
Quinnipiac: 12.9
Rebounding (L5)
+20.7% more
Central Connecticut: 44.0
vs
Quinnipiac: 34.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Central Connecticut: 48.1%
vs
Quinnipiac: 42.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
82.0
49
QUIN Score
85.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 34.9
31.0 / 17.0
Assists
12.9 / 16.7
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.6
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 48.1
41.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 81.3
71.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 44.0
41.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.8
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 12.3
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
CCSU
QUIN
CCSU
ML
66%
21-11
57%
17-13
53%
17-15
57%
17-13
ATS
59%
19-13
63%
19-11
53%
17-15
57%
17-13
TTL
62%
20-12
60%
18-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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