Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Bulldogs RMU @ DRKE

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

0-1  |  Road

81
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:30 PM ET
Knapp Center
View Odds Details →

DRAKE

BULLDOGSDRKE

1-0  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
COLONIALS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Drake)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsDRKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

38.2%

Bulldogs Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)

RMU By 1-7 points

21.6%

RMU By 8-14 points

10.7%

DRKE By 1-7 points

27.2%

DRKE By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
66
ROBERT MORRIS
69
DRAKE
Simulated Score
65
ROBERT MORRIS
78
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 RMU @ DRKE 81 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +12.7% more
Drake: 5.9 vs Robert Morris: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.5%
Drake: 68.1% vs Robert Morris: 63.6%
Turnovers (L5) +34.5% more
Robert Morris: 14.4 vs Drake: 9.4
Assists (L5) +20.9% more
Robert Morris: 17.7 vs Drake: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 66.0 81
DRKE Score 69.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.0 / 39.8 26.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.0 / 17.7 9.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.8 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 46.6 37.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 68.1 / 63.6 78.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 34.0 36.0 / 46.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.2 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 14.4 8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
DRKE
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
DRKE
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
RMU
DRKE
RMU
ML
59% 20-14
36% 12-21
38% 13-21
56% 18-14
ATS
85% 29-5
55% 18-15
38% 13-21
56% 18-14
TTL
56% 19-15
55% 18-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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