Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ospreys @ Gators UNF @ FLA

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

0-0  |  Road

64
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Stephen C. O'Connell Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

0-1  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
📊
GATORS
0%
OSPREYS --
GATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Florida)
OspreysUNF (-3.5) 0 GatorsFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ospreys Cover

24.2%

Gators Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

UNF By 1-7 points

15.3%

UNF By 8-14 points

5.8%

FLA By 1-7 points

26.2%

FLA By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
74
NORTH FLORIDA
81
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
61
NORTH FLORIDA
82
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gators Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gators (+43.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Gators (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u169.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 UNF @ FLA 64 - 104
Dec 21, 2024 UNF @ FLA 45 - 99
Dec 8, 2021 UNF @ FLA 55 - 85
Nov 5, 2019 UNF @ FLA 59 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +22.9% more
Florida: 39.9 vs North Florida: 32.5
Steals (L5) +15.9% more
Florida: 7.0 vs North Florida: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Florida: 14.0 vs North Florida: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5) +3.4%
Florida: 74.6% vs North Florida: 71.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNF Score 74.0 64
FLA Score 81.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 37.6 19.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.3 / 15.1 22.0 / 2.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.2 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 44.3 49.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 71.2 64.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 32.5 64.0 / 24.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.0 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 12.2 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
FLA Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
FLA
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
UNF
FLA
UNF
ML
77% 27-8
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
66% 21-11
ATS
69% 24-11
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
66% 21-11
TTL
63% 22-13
66% 21-11
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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