CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
MATADORSCSUN
1-0 | Road
57
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
0-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
MATADORS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
MATADORS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
CSUN By 1-7 points
18.6%
CSUN By 8-14 points
8.0%
UNI By 1-7 points
27.2%
UNI By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Northridge
68
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Northern Iowa
73
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Cal State Northridge
67
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Northern Iowa
74
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
CSUN @ UNI
57 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+8.2% more
Northern Iowa: 3.3
vs
Cal State Northridge: 3.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Northern Iowa: 36.6%
vs
Cal State Northridge: 34.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+26.4% more
Cal State Northridge: 44.9
vs
Northern Iowa: 33.1
Turnovers (L5)
+19.5% more
Cal State Northridge: 13.9
vs
Northern Iowa: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUN Score
68.0
57
UNI Score
73.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 34.6
42.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.5 / 15.2
24.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.1
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 44.8
51.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
65.1 / 70.9
80.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 44.9
33.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.5
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 13.9
10.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUN
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUN
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +2.4
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
CSUN
UNI
CSUN
ML
51%
18-17
58%
19-14
56%
19-15
67%
22-11
ATS
49%
17-18
58%
19-14
56%
19-15
67%
22-11
TTL
69%
24-11
58%
19-14
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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