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OMAHA

MAVERICKSOMA

0-2  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Moody Coliseum (Abilene)
View Odds Details →

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

2-0  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
MAVERICKS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Abilene Christian)
MavericksOMA (-3.5) 0 WildcatsACU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

2.9%

Wildcats Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ACU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)

OMA By 1-7 points

2.2%

OMA By 8-14 points

0.4%

ACU By 1-7 points

9.3%

ACU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
OMAHA
76
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
68
OMAHA
72
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u151.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 OMA @ ACU 71 - 73
Nov 30, 2024 ACU @ OMA 71 - 55
Nov 28, 2020 ACU @ OMA 70 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +182.9% more
Abilene Christian: 5.0 vs Omaha: 1.8
Assists (L5) +58.3% more
Abilene Christian: 16.8 vs Omaha: 10.6
Turnovers (L5) +32.4% more
Abilene Christian: 15.6 vs Omaha: 11.8
Steals (L5) +32.2% more
Abilene Christian: 8.5 vs Omaha: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OMA Score 57.0 71
ACU Score 76.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.8 / 30.4 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 16.8 / 10.6 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.0 / 1.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 43.8 44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 70.6 76.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 44.3 / 39.6 32.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.5 / 6.5 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 11.8 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
4%MONEY96%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
ACU
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
OMA
ACU
OMA
ML
67% 22-11
79% 26-7
70% 23-10
67% 22-11
ATS
55% 18-15
76% 25-8
70% 23-10
67% 22-11
TTL
58% 19-14
73% 24-9
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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