Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lakers @ Ramblers MERC @ LUC

MERCYHURST

LAKERSMERC

0-1  |  Road

73
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 9:00 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

1-0  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
📊
RAMBLERS
0%
LAKERS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
LakersMERC (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

34.5%

Ramblers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)

MERC By 1-7 points

20.1%

MERC By 8-14 points

9.3%

LUC By 1-7 points

27.4%

LUC By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
68
MERCYHURST
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
62
MERCYHURST
78
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ramblers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ramblers (+22.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 MERC @ LUC 73 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +76.5% more
Loyola Chicago: 5.9 vs Mercyhurst: 3.3
Assists (L5) +25.3% more
Loyola Chicago: 17.8 vs Mercyhurst: 14.2
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Loyola Chicago: 45.2% vs Mercyhurst: 42.3%
Steals (L5) +21.0% more
Mercyhurst: 6.3 vs Loyola Chicago: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MERC Score 68.0 73
LUC Score 72.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 31.8 31.0 / 39.0
Assists 17.8 / 14.2 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.9 / 3.3 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 42.3 38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 81.3 74.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 30.2 30.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.0 / 6.3 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.6 / 10.5 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MERC Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: +2.4
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MERC Advantage
21-11-0 (65.6%)
Margin: 2.0 ATS +/-: +2.4
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MERC
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.7
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
MERC
LUC
MERC
ML
55% 18-15
59% 20-14
50% 16-16
79% 26-7
ATS
64% 21-12
62% 21-13
50% 16-16
79% 26-7
TTL
76% 25-8
53% 18-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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