LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-4 | Road
102
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
3-5 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
SUNS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
PHX By 1-7 points
9.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
123
LA
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Phoenix
115
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+15.0% more
LA: 7.1
vs
Phoenix: 6.1
Turnovers (L5)
+11.3% more
LA: 13.0
vs
Phoenix: 11.5
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
Phoenix: 3.0
vs
LA: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Phoenix: 48.3%
vs
LA: 45.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
123.0
102
PHX Score
112.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 38.1
39.0 / 32.0
Assists
18.1 / 18.0
27.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 45.4
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
56.6 / 55.1
74.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
27.7 / 29.2
44.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.1
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.0
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
LAC
PHX
LAC
ML
57%
60-45
60%
59-40
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
59-43-3
66%
65-33-1
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
61-42-2
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…