MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
5-6-3 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
8-4-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 4.12 | 0.852 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.12
GAA
--
0.852
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
HURRICANES
0%
WILD
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 19, 2025
CAR @ MIN
3 - 4
Nov 6, 2025
MIN @ CAR
3 - 4
Feb 6, 2025
CAR @ MIN
1 - 2
Jan 4, 2025
MIN @ CAR
4 - 0
Feb 27, 2024
CAR @ MIN
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+35.3% more
Carolina: 5.6
vs
Minnesota: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.2% more
Carolina: 30.7
vs
Minnesota: 27.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Carolina: 50.2%
vs
Minnesota: 46.7%
Hits (L5)
+24.7% more
Minnesota: 23.7
vs
Carolina: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.0
3
CAR Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 15.7
11.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.2 / 46.7
52.9 / 47.1
Hits
17.9 / 23.7
19.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
21.7 / 37.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 27.8
27.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 4.1
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
MIN
CAR
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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