ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
8-3-1 | Road
7
DALLAS
STARSDAL
7-3-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 5.02 | 0.808 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 6.18 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.02 Ldr
GAA
6.18
0.808 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
STARS
100%
DUCKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
17.5%
ANA By 2-3 goals
37.2%
DAL By 1 goal
6.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Dallas
1
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Ducks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
DAL @ ANA
1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
DAL @ ANA
8 - 3
Nov 6, 2025
ANA @ DAL
7 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
ANA @ DAL
3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DAL @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.0% more
Anaheim: 30.3
vs
Dallas: 24.6
Takeaways (L5)
+16.5% more
Anaheim: 4.9
vs
Dallas: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+31.7% more
Dallas: 22.8
vs
Anaheim: 17.3
Power Play % (L5)
+14.6%
Dallas: 31.5%
vs
Anaheim: 16.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
7
DAL Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 13.2
19.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
53.8 / 47.6
59.3 / 40.7
Hits
22.8 / 17.3
15.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
31.5 / 16.9
60.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 30.3
26.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.9
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
ANA
DAL
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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