Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Bulldogs USI @ BUT

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

0-0  |  Road

58
FINAL
Wed, Nov 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Hinkle Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

BUTLER

BULLDOGSBUT

0-0  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BUTLER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Butler)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBUT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

24.2%

Bulldogs Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUT)

USI By 1-7 points

15.3%

USI By 8-14 points

5.8%

BUT By 1-7 points

26.2%

BUT By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
76
SOUTHERN INDIANA
83
BUTLER
Simulated Score
65
SOUTHERN INDIANA
80
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+22.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 5, 2025 USI @ BUT 58 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Butler: 48.8% vs Southern Indiana: 40.6%
Assists (L5) +8.2% more
Butler: 12.7 vs Southern Indiana: 11.7
Blocks (L5) +50.4% more
Southern Indiana: 2.6 vs Butler: 1.3
Turnovers (L5) +15.7% more
Southern Indiana: 11.4 vs Butler: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 76.0 58
BUT Score 83.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 37.7 44.0 / 30.0
Assists 12.7 / 11.7 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.3 / 2.6 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 40.6 46.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 78.6 69.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 31.3 / 35.0 56.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.4 / 5.1 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 11.4 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
USI
BUT
USI
ML
62% 20-12
67% 20-10
65% 20-11
61% 17-11
ATS
56% 18-14
70% 21-9
65% 20-11
61% 17-11
TTL
50% 16-16
73% 22-8
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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