SOUTH DAKOTA
COYOTESSDAK
0-1 | Road
76
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
0-0 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
100%
BLUEJAYS
0%
COYOTES
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
SDAK By 1-7 points
8.0%
SDAK By 8-14 points
2.2%
CREI By 1-7 points
20.1%
CREI By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
South Dakota
79
SOUTH DAKOTA
Creighton
91
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
South Dakota
65
SOUTH DAKOTA
Creighton
82
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays (+29.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
SDAK @ CREI
76 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+124.8% more
Creighton: 16.8
vs
South Dakota: 7.5
Blocks (L5)
+29.3% more
Creighton: 2.9
vs
South Dakota: 2.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.1%
Creighton: 38.8%
vs
South Dakota: 24.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Creighton: 49.5%
vs
South Dakota: 39.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score
79.0
76
CREI Score
91.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 24.6
31.0 / 33.0
Assists
16.8 / 7.5
20.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.3
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 39.5
50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
63.4 / 74.5
91.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 38.5
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
2.9 / 6.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 10.5
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
SDAK
CREI
SDAK
ML
52%
17-16
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
ATS
58%
19-14
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
TTL
52%
17-16
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
