Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Lions EWU @ LMU

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

0-1  |  Road

62
FINAL
Wed, Nov 5 • 10:30 PM ET
Gersten Pavilion
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

1-0  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
LIONS
100%
EAGLES --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
EaglesEWU (-3.5) 0 LionsLMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

34.5%

Lions Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LMU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)

EWU By 1-7 points

27.4%

EWU By 8-14 points

21.6%

LMU By 1-7 points

20.1%

LMU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
72
EASTERN WASHINGTON
68
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
70
EASTERN WASHINGTON
75
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 5, 2025 EWU @ LMU 62 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.2% more
Eastern Washington: 13.5 vs Loyola Marymount: 9.7
Blocks (L5) +91.5% more
Loyola Marymount: 5.2 vs Eastern Washington: 2.7
Steals (L5) +51.2% more
Loyola Marymount: 7.6 vs Eastern Washington: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +41.9% more
Loyola Marymount: 38.5 vs Eastern Washington: 27.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 72.0 62
LMU Score 68.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 32.1 35.0 / 27.0
Assists 19.0 / 15.4 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.2 / 2.7 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 54.5 / 47.4 43.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 72.8 62.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 27.2 36.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.6 / 5.0 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 13.5 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
LMU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
LMU
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
EWU
LMU
EWU
ML
53% 17-15
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
ATS
47% 15-17
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
TTL
62% 20-12
48% 16-17
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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