Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Bears NYG @ CHI

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-7  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 1:00 PM ET
Soldier Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BEARSCHI

5-3  |  Home

24
Key Game
Tremaine Edmunds
KEY GAME

Tremaine Edmunds

#49 | Linebacker
@
Tory Taylor
KEY GAME

Tory Taylor

#19 | Punter
Player
Tremaine Edmunds None-None
Tory Taylor None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
GIANTS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Chicago)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 BearsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

38.8%

Bears Cover

61.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CHI -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

NYG By 1-6 points

14.7%

NYG By 7-13 points

12.1%

CHI By 1-6 points

17.0%

CHI By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
27
NEW YORK
31
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
24
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o46.0 Loss
Proj Total: 58.0
D
Sim u46.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 NYG @ CHI 20 - 24
Oct 2, 2022 CHI @ NYG 12 - 20
Jan 2, 2022 NYG @ CHI 3 - 29
Sep 20, 2020 NYG @ CHI 13 - 17
Nov 24, 2019 NYG @ CHI 14 - 19
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +60.0% more
Chicago: 181.4 vs New York: 113.4
Total Yards (L5) +39.7% more
Chicago: 430.7 vs New York: 308.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +27.9% more
Chicago: 249.2 vs New York: 194.9
Yards Per Play (L5) +23.0% more
Chicago: 6.4 vs New York: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 27.0 20
CHI Score 31.0 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.9 / 19.5 23.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 249.2 / 194.9 220.0 / 262.0
Rushing Yards 181.4 / 113.4 171.0 / 169.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.27 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 430.7 / 308.3 391.0 / 431.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 0.6 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 6.4 / 5.2 6.1 / 6.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
CHI
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
CHI
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NYG
CHI
NYG
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
ATS
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
TTL
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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