Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cardinals @ Seahawks ARI @ SEA

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

3-5  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 4:05 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

6-2  |  Home

44
Key Game
Chad Ryland
KEY GAME

Chad Ryland

#38 | Place kicker
@
Jason Myers
KEY GAME

Jason Myers

#5 | Place kicker
Player
Chad Ryland None-None
Jason Myers None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
📊
SEAHAWKS
100%
CARDINALS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Arizona)
CardinalsARI (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

69.1%

Seahawks Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ARI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)

ARI By 1-6 points

16.5%

ARI By 7-13 points

19.3%

SEA By 1-6 points

12.9%

SEA By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
24
ARIZONA
17
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
20
ARIZONA
27
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinals (-7) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u44.5 Loss
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim u44.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 SEA @ ARI 31 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 ARI @ SEA 22 - 44
Sep 25, 2025 SEA @ ARI 23 - 20
Dec 8, 2024 SEA @ ARI 30 - 18
Nov 24, 2024 ARI @ SEA 6 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +11.0% more
Arizona: 0.5 vs Seattle: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +10.6% more
Arizona: 111.7 vs Seattle: 99.8
First Downs (L5) +9.5% more
Arizona: 21.7 vs Seattle: 19.7
Turnovers (L5) +79.0% more
Seattle: 1.7 vs Arizona: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 24.0 22
SEA Score 17.0 44
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.7 / 21.7 22.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 274.3 / 226.9 174.0 / 206.0
Rushing Yards 99.8 / 111.7 198.0 / 129.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.6 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 374.1 / 338.6 372.0 / 335.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 0.9 3.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 6.9 / 5.1 6.3 / 4.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ARI
SEA
ARI
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 1-1-2
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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