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PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

5-2  |  Road

121
FINAL
Wed, Nov 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

4-3  |  Home

132
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
CAVALIERS
100%
76ERS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

27.4%

Cavaliers Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

PHI By 1-7 points

26.8%

PHI By 8-14 points

24.3%

CLE By 1-7 points

16.9%

CLE By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
122
PHILADELPHIA
116
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
102
PHILADELPHIA
108
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+11) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o237.0 Win
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim u237.0 Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 PHI @ CLE 101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026 CLE @ PHI 117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026 CLE @ PHI 133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025 PHI @ CLE 121 - 132
Jan 24, 2025 CLE @ PHI 129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.3% more
Philadelphia: 5.5 vs Cleveland: 2.1
Rebounding (L5) +26.4% more
Philadelphia: 26.7 vs Cleveland: 19.7
Steals (L5) +19.5% more
Philadelphia: 6.9 vs Cleveland: 5.6
Assists (L5) +19.3% more
Philadelphia: 16.8 vs Cleveland: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 122.0 121
CLE Score 116.0 132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.8 / 37.8 41.0 / 39.0
Assists 13.6 / 16.8 33.0 / 26.0
Blocks 2.1 / 5.5 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 46.0 53.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 40.6 / 52.5 94.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 19.7 / 26.7 34.0 / 43.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.9 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.2 / 10.1 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
PHI
CLE
PHI
ML
60% 69-46
63% 69-40
56% 55-44
48% 45-48
ATS
67% 75-37-3
65% 71-38
56% 55-44
48% 45-48
TTL
59% 68-47
55% 60-49
100% 99-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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