BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
0-7 | Road
112
INDIANA
PACERSIND
1-6 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
PACERS
0%
NETS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
250.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
BKN By 1-7 points
23.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.2%
IND By 1-7 points
26.8%
IND By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
124
BROOKLYN
Indiana
126
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Indiana
118
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pacers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pacers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pacers (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Pacers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o232.5
Loss
Proj Total: 250.0
D
Sim
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.4% more
Brooklyn: 10.9
vs
Indiana: 8.4
Steals (L5)
+20.4% more
Brooklyn: 6.3
vs
Indiana: 5.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Brooklyn: 30.2%
vs
Indiana: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
124.0
112
IND Score
126.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 30.2
36.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.5 / 16.5
29.0 / 26.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.5
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 43.0
41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
51.1 / 50.0
62.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 28.4
56.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.3
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 10.9
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
BKN
IND
BKN
ML
48%
47-50
53%
50-45
54%
45-38
59%
48-34
ATS
59%
57-40
52%
48-44-3
54%
45-38
59%
48-34
TTL
54%
52-45
57%
54-41
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Charles Lee Praises Naz Reid's Seamless Fit with Hornets
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
Charles Lee Reveals Hornets' Unique Pace Philosophy Ahead of Pre…
Stephen A. Smith Sounds Alarm: James Dolan Could Derail Knicks' …