UTAH
JAZZUTAH
3-4 | Road
103
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
5-2 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
PISTONS
100%
JAZZ
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
20.1%
DET By 1-7 points
21.6%
DET By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
113
UTAH
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Utah
108
UTAH
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 26, 2025
DET @ UTAH
129 - 131
Nov 5, 2025
UTAH @ DET
103 - 114
Mar 3, 2025
DET @ UTAH
134 - 106
Dec 19, 2024
UTAH @ DET
126 - 119
Jan 3, 2024
DET @ UTAH
148 - 154
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.4% more
Utah: 10.9
vs
Detroit: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Utah: 56.0%
vs
Detroit: 47.3%
Blocks (L5)
+188.7% more
Detroit: 5.1
vs
Utah: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+76.2% more
Detroit: 7.0
vs
Utah: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
113.0
103
DET Score
110.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 31.2
37.0 / 31.0
Assists
17.7 / 17.5
24.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.1 / 1.8
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 47.6
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
47.3 / 56.0
59.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 32.9
52.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.0 / 4.0
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 10.9
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
UTAH
DET
UTAH
ML
55%
64-53
60%
96-63
49%
47-49
48%
40-43
ATS
53%
60-54-3
68%
108-51
49%
47-49
48%
40-43
TTL
60%
70-46-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
96-0
100%
83-0
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …