WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
1-6 | Road
107
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
3-5 | Home
136
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
CELTICS
0%
WIZARDS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
WSH By 1-7 points
16.9%
WSH By 8-14 points
6.8%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.8%
BOS By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
108
WASHINGTON
Boston
114
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
Boston
118
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u232.5
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
WSH @ BOS
100 - 111
Dec 4, 2025
BOS @ WSH
146 - 101
Nov 5, 2025
WSH @ BOS
107 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
WSH @ BOS
90 - 124
Dec 15, 2024
BOS @ WSH
112 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+39.8% more
Boston: 6.8
vs
Washington: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.2%
Boston: 56.5%
vs
Washington: 42.2%
Blocks (L5)
+46.3% more
Washington: 4.4
vs
Boston: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+44.4% more
Washington: 12.6
vs
Boston: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
108.0
107
BOS Score
114.0
136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.3 / 37.2
39.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.1 / 17.5
31.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.4
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 45.1
55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
56.5 / 42.2
76.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
23.9 / 30.1
40.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.9
12.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
7.0 / 12.6
7.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
WSH
BOS
WSH
ML
57%
61-46
70%
112-49
53%
47-41
47%
39-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
69%
111-49-1
53%
47-41
47%
39-44
TTL
56%
60-47
74%
119-41-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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