ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
4-7-2 | Road
1
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
6-5-1 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 8.14 | 0.733 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
8.14
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.733
Save %
Ldr 0.958
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
CAPITALS
0%
BLUES
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
STL By 1 goal
0.9%
STL By 2-3 goals
0.3%
WSH By 1 goal
6.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
WSH @ STL
0 - 3
Nov 5, 2025
STL @ WSH
1 - 6
Feb 27, 2025
STL @ WSH
5 - 2
Nov 9, 2024
WSH @ STL
8 - 1
Jan 20, 2024
WSH @ STL
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+24.0%
St. Louis: 30.4%
vs
Washington: 6.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.0% more
St. Louis: 15.4
vs
Washington: 12.6
Takeaways (L5)
+15.9% more
St. Louis: 5.3
vs
Washington: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.0
1
WSH Score
5.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.6 / 15.4
14.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
46.0 / 47.5
56.5 / 43.5
Hits
19.4 / 18.9
8.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
6.4 / 30.4
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 29.0
32.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.3
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
STL
WSH
STL
ML
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season