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NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

0-0  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

0-0  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
AGGIES --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (South Carolina)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

42.1%

Gamecocks Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

NCAT By 1-7 points

23.0%

NCAT By 8-14 points

12.2%

SC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
68
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
56
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+22.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.0 Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u144.0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 NCAT @ SC 72 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.5% more
South Carolina: 11.6 vs North Carolina A&T: 9.2
Steals (L5) +23.9% more
South Carolina: 5.5 vs North Carolina A&T: 4.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
South Carolina: 77.9% vs North Carolina A&T: 72.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
South Carolina: 31.3% vs North Carolina A&T: 27.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 66.0 72
SC Score 68.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 27.5 44.0 / 36.0
Assists 11.6 / 9.2 24.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.7 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.5 / 35.7 49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 72.5 71.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 36.0 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.5 / 4.5 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.4 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
SC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
NCAT
SC
NCAT
ML
72% 23-9
52% 14-13
68% 21-10
63% 17-10
ATS
69% 22-10
63% 17-10
68% 21-10
64% 18-10
TTL
50% 16-16
69% 18-8-1
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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