Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Cowboys ORU @ OKST

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

0-0  |  Road

71
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

0-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Oklahoma State)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

5.5%

Cowboys Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

ORU By 1-7 points

4.0%

ORU By 8-14 points

0.8%

OKST By 1-7 points

13.7%

OKST By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
ORAL ROBERTS
80
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
65
ORAL ROBERTS
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 ORU @ OKST 71 - 95
Dec 22, 2024 ORU @ OKST 74 - 86
Dec 17, 2023 ORU @ OKST 60 - 81
Nov 26, 2021 OKST @ ORU 78 - 77
Dec 8, 2020 ORU @ OKST 78 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +156.6% more
Oklahoma State: 10.1 vs Oral Roberts: 3.9
Assists (L5) +55.3% more
Oklahoma State: 13.2 vs Oral Roberts: 8.5
Turnovers (L5) +54.2% more
Oklahoma State: 15.5 vs Oral Roberts: 10.0
Blocks (L5) +22.4% more
Oklahoma State: 4.4 vs Oral Roberts: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 64.0 71
OKST Score 80.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.8 / 29.9 32.0 / 21.0
Assists 13.2 / 8.5 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.6 0.0 / 12.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 39.0 44.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 78.4 77.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 30.2 52.0 / 37.0
Steals 10.1 / 3.9 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 10.0 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
ORU
OKST
ORU
ML
60% 21-14
85% 28-5
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
ATS
57% 20-15
82% 27-6
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
TTL
57% 20-15
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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