EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
0-0 | Road
63
VALPARAISO
BEACONSVAL
0-0 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BEACONS
100%
PANTHERS
--
BEACONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
VALPARAISO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VAL +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAL)
EIU By 1-7 points
26.8%
EIU By 8-14 points
18.6%
VAL By 1-7 points
23.0%
VAL By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
57
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Valparaiso
55
VALPARAISO
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Valparaiso
72
VALPARAISO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Beacons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Beacons (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Beacons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
EIU @ VAL
63 - 66
Nov 24, 2024
EIU @ VAL
53 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+51.2% more
Eastern Illinois: 11.6
vs
Valparaiso: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+40.1% more
Eastern Illinois: 13.1
vs
Valparaiso: 7.9
Blocks (L5)
+43.8% more
Valparaiso: 4.8
vs
Eastern Illinois: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+28.6% more
Valparaiso: 13.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
57.0
63
VAL Score
55.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 38.1
23.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.2 / 10.2
8.0 / 4.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.4
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.9 / 40.4
35.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
80.8 / 79.7
60.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 36.1
38.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.7 / 11.6
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
7.9 / 13.1
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
VAL
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
VAL
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
VAL
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAL
EIU
VAL
EIU
ML
48%
16-17
56%
18-14
61%
20-13
74%
23-8
ATS
52%
17-16
50%
16-16
61%
20-13
74%
23-8
TTL
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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