Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Hawkeyes RMU @ IOWA

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

0-0  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 8:30 PM ET
Carver-Hawkeye Arena
View Odds Details →

IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

0-0  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
📊
HAWKEYES
0%
COLONIALS --
HAWKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Iowa)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 HawkeyesIOWA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

42.1%

Hawkeyes Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)

RMU By 1-7 points

23.0%

RMU By 8-14 points

12.2%

IOWA By 1-7 points

26.8%

IOWA By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
75
ROBERT MORRIS
77
IOWA
Simulated Score
60
ROBERT MORRIS
85
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawkeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Hawkeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 RMU @ IOWA 69 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Iowa: 50.9% vs Robert Morris: 45.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Iowa: 41.3% vs Robert Morris: 36.6%
Turnovers (L5) +22.6% more
Robert Morris: 10.1 vs Iowa: 7.8
Rebounding (L5) +22.0% more
Robert Morris: 38.4 vs Iowa: 30.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 75.0 69
IOWA Score 77.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.3 / 36.6 47.0 / 46.0
Assists 18.6 / 19.5 21.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.8 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 45.9 62.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 67.9 82.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 30.0 / 38.4 26.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.0 / 5.3 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 10.1 11.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
IOWA
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
IOWA
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
RMU
IOWA
RMU
ML
59% 22-15
36% 12-21
78% 28-8
56% 18-14
ATS
76% 28-9
55% 18-15
78% 28-8
56% 18-14
TTL
57% 21-16
55% 18-15
100% 36-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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