BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
7-7-0 | Road
4
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
6-5-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.77 | 0.909 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.77 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77
GAA
2.77
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
BRUINS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
BOS @ NYI
3 - 1
Nov 4, 2025
BOS @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 28, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 5
Feb 27, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 1
Jan 5, 2025
NYI @ BOS
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+32.0% more
New York: 31.2
vs
Boston: 23.7
Takeaways (L5)
+20.1% more
New York: 4.4
vs
Boston: 3.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.1%
New York: 59.9%
vs
Boston: 51.8%
Power Play % (L5)
+4.0%
New York: 23.0%
vs
Boston: 19.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
4
NYI Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 15.8
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
59.9 / 51.8
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
15.8 / 22.1
15.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
23.0 / 19.0
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
31.2 / 23.7
33.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.7
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
BOS
NYI
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
TTL
67%
2-1-1
60%
3-2
100%
3-0-1
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
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