CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
7-4-0 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
6-5-2 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.04 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
2.04
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.935
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
RANGERS
100%
HURRICANES
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
17.5%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
New York
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CAR @ NYR
2 - 0
Dec 29, 2025
NYR @ CAR
2 - 3
Nov 26, 2025
NYR @ CAR
4 - 2
Nov 4, 2025
CAR @ NYR
3 - 0
Apr 12, 2025
NYR @ CAR
3 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+12.4%
Carolina: 15.9%
vs
New York: 3.4%
Hits (L5)
+11.1% more
New York: 22.5
vs
Carolina: 20.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.7% more
New York: 13.4
vs
Carolina: 12.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.6%
New York: 56.5%
vs
Carolina: 49.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
3
NYR Score
1.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 12.2
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
56.5 / 49.0
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
22.5 / 20.3
22.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
3.4 / 15.9
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 30.0
26.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.3
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
CAR
NYR
CAR
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-4
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …