UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
8-4-0 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
5-4-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 0.99 | 0.944 | -- |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 1.97 | 0.943 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.99 Ldr
GAA
1.97
0.944 Ldr
Save %
0.943
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
SABRES
0%
MAMMOTH
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
BUF @ UTA
2 - 5
Nov 4, 2025
UTA @ BUF
2 - 1
Mar 20, 2025
BUF @ UTA
2 - 5
Dec 7, 2024
UTA @ BUF
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+20.4% more
Buffalo: 20.0
vs
Utah: 16.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.5% more
Buffalo: 16.4
vs
Utah: 14.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.9% more
Buffalo: 31.1
vs
Utah: 28.6
Takeaways (L5)
+19.8% more
Utah: 5.1
vs
Buffalo: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
2
BUF Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 14.3
21.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
43.8 / 49.1
40.0 / 60.0
Hits
20.0 / 16.6
20.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
1009.0 / 2055.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.1 / 28.6
18.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 5.1
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
UTA
BUF
UTA
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
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