DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
9-4-0 | Road
0
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
6-2-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | None-None | 1.04 | 0.971 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.04
GAA
--
0.971
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
RED WINGS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
VGK @ DET
4 - 3
Nov 4, 2025
DET @ VGK
0 - 1
Mar 22, 2025
DET @ VGK
3 - 6
Mar 16, 2025
VGK @ DET
0 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
DET @ VGK
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+21.1% more
Vegas: 19.6
vs
Detroit: 16.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.6% more
Detroit: 29.1
vs
Vegas: 25.8
Takeaways (L5)
+10.6% more
Detroit: 4.1
vs
Vegas: 3.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.8%
Detroit: 58.4%
vs
Vegas: 51.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
0
VGK Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 15.1
17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.5 / 58.4
66.1 / 33.9
Hits
19.6 / 16.2
21.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
1765.0 / 2179.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.8 / 29.1
34.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.1
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
DET
VGK
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late