AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
BULLS
100%
76ERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
CHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
116
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
CHI @ PHI
137 - 157
Dec 26, 2025
PHI @ CHI
102 - 109
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ CHI
111 - 113
Apr 13, 2025
CHI @ PHI
122 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHI @ PHI
142 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.4% more
Philadelphia: 2.7
vs
Chicago: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+24.1% more
Philadelphia: 4.4
vs
Chicago: 3.3
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Chicago: 21.8
vs
Philadelphia: 20.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
116.0
111
CHI Score
115.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 38.1
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
13.3 / 14.2
26.0 / 22.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.7
9.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 47.5
47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
37.5 / 37.3
80.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
21.8 / 20.1
48.0 / 40.0
Steals
3.3 / 4.4
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
6.9 / 7.2
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PHI
CHI
PHI
ML
56%
54-42
63%
69-40
57%
46-35
48%
45-48
ATS
65%
62-33-1
65%
71-38
57%
46-35
48%
45-48
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
60-49
100%
81-0
100%
93-0