ORLANDO
MAGICORL
3-4 | Road
112
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
3-4 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
HAWKS
0%
MAGIC
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ORL By 1-7 points
13.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
4.8%
ATL By 1-7 points
25.3%
ATL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u229.5
Loss
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Sim
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATL @ ORL
130 - 101
Mar 16, 2026
ORL @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 4, 2025
ORL @ ATL
112 - 127
Oct 24, 2025
ATL @ ORL
111 - 107
Apr 15, 2025
ATL @ ORL
95 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.1% more
Atlanta: 9.8
vs
Orlando: 8.1
Blocks (L5)
+55.6% more
Orlando: 4.1
vs
Atlanta: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+22.6% more
Orlando: 5.3
vs
Atlanta: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+11.7% more
Orlando: 23.8
vs
Atlanta: 21.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
110.0
112
ATL Score
118.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 36.9
43.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.8 / 13.8
23.0 / 26.0
Blocks
1.8 / 4.1
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 48.2
56.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
34.0 / 38.6
81.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
21.0 / 23.8
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
4.1 / 5.3
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 8.1
20.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
ORL
ATL
ORL
ML
50%
52-52
61%
65-42
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
ATS
53%
55-48-1
64%
68-38-1
55%
48-40
56%
51-40
TTL
53%
55-48-1
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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