AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
TERRAPINS
0%
EAGLES
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MD -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
COPP By 1-7 points
0.8%
COPP By 8-14 points
0.1%
MD By 1-7 points
4.8%
MD By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
55
COPPIN STATE
Maryland
78
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Coppin State
58
COPPIN STATE
Maryland
87
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins (+28.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
COPP @ MD
61 - 83
Dec 28, 2023
COPP @ MD
53 - 75
Nov 25, 2022
COPP @ MD
79 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Maryland: 76.3%
vs
Coppin State: 69.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Maryland: 37.9%
vs
Coppin State: 34.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+42.7% more
Coppin State: 15.0
vs
Maryland: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+20.9% more
Coppin State: 4.6
vs
Maryland: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
55.0
61
MD Score
78.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 34.7
34.0 / 37.0
Assists
10.2 / 12.6
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 45.0
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 69.3
92.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
29.1 / 30.0
34.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.9 / 8.7
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 15.0
12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
MD
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
MD
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
COPP
MD
COPP
ML
70%
23-10
65%
20-11
67%
22-11
79%
19-5
ATS
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
79%
19-5
TTL
64%
21-12
52%
16-15
100%
33-0
100%
24-0